Raisins Prices: Trend, Index, Demand, Chart and Forecast Q2 2026

According to ChemAnalyst, The global Raisins Prices presented mixed regional movements during the quarter ending June 2026, with production costs, grape availability, consumer demand, industrial activity, and broader food-market conditions influencing price direction across major producing and consuming regions. While the United States experienced an increase in its Raisins Price Index, prices in China and Germany moved lower quarter-over-quarter amid comparatively softer demand and improving supply conditions.

In the United States, elevated production costs remained an important factor supporting raisin prices during Q2 2026. Drying, labor, packaging, transportation, energy, and agricultural input expenses continued to influence the overall cost structure. Raisins FOB USA were assessed at USD 2,950/MT during the quarter.

The APAC market followed a different trajectory. In China, the Raisins Price Index declined during Q2 2026, reflecting increased global availability and relatively moderate domestic consumption growth. Although Chinese producer costs remained elevated, weaker grape prices during the 2025/26 marketing year provided some relief to processors.

European prices also softened, with Germany recording a quarter-over-quarter decline. Contracting industrial activity in June contributed to cautious purchasing behavior, although higher producer prices continued to place upward pressure on the underlying cost base.

Overall, the Q2 2026 Raisins Prices landscape demonstrated the importance of regional supply-demand balances. Higher production expenses provided a floor to prices in some markets, while improved availability and restrained demand limited upward movement elsewhere.

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Raisins Prices in North America

The North American raisin market recorded an upward movement during Q2 2026. In the United States, the Raisins Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter, primarily because of elevated production costs.

Raisins FOB USA were assessed at USD 2,950/MT during Q2 2026. The price level reflected continued pressure across several components of the production and distribution chain. Raisin manufacturing begins with fresh grapes and involves harvesting, drying, sorting, processing, grading, packaging, storage, and transportation. Changes in any of these stages can influence the final market price.

Production costs remained a central consideration for US suppliers. Agricultural labor costs, energy requirements for processing and handling, packaging expenses, and freight costs contributed to the higher cost base. Producers and processors therefore faced limited flexibility in reducing offers even when downstream buyers remained price-sensitive.

The US market also continued to be influenced by the availability and quality of grapes entering the processing chain. Raisins depend heavily on agricultural yields and weather conditions because the quality and volume of fresh grapes directly affect processed raisin output. Any variation in vineyard productivity can consequently affect inventories and supplier pricing.

Demand from food processors, bakeries, cereal manufacturers, snack producers, confectionery companies, and retail channels remained important for market direction. Raisins are used across a broad range of applications, giving the product relatively diversified demand. However, purchasing decisions can still be influenced by inventory levels, consumer spending, and the availability of competing dried-fruit products.

The Q2 2026 increase in US Raisins Prices therefore reflected a combination of elevated production expenses and market fundamentals rather than a single supply-side factor. With FOB prices reaching USD 2,950/MT, buyers continued to monitor raw-material availability, processing expenses, and logistics costs when negotiating contracts.

Raisins Prices in APAC

The Asia-Pacific market experienced a more subdued price environment during Q2 2026. In China, the Raisins Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter, influenced by increased global supply and relatively modest growth in domestic retail activity.

China is an important participant in the global dried-fruit market, both as a producer and consumer. The country's raisin market is closely linked to grape cultivation, agricultural conditions, processing capacity, domestic consumption, and international trade flows.

During Q2 2026, increased global supply contributed to downward pressure on Chinese raisin prices. Greater availability allowed buyers to access material from multiple sources, reducing urgency in procurement and limiting the ability of suppliers to implement substantial price increases.

Domestic demand also remained relatively measured. Chinese retail sales increased by 1.0% in June 2026, indicating modest consumer-market growth. For raisin suppliers, moderate retail expansion meant that demand did not provide enough momentum to offset the impact of increased availability.

At the production level, China's cost environment remained mixed. The country's Producer Price Index increased by 4.1% in June 2026, indicating continued pressure across producer-level costs. Higher costs can affect agricultural inputs, processing, packaging, energy, and transportation, potentially supporting the underlying cost of raisins.

However, this cost pressure was partly offset by weaker grape prices during the MY 2025/26 period. Since grapes represent the principal agricultural input for raisin production, lower raw-material costs can reduce pressure on processors and exporters. This helped explain why higher producer-level costs did not translate directly into higher raisin prices.

The Chinese market consequently demonstrated a divergence between production costs and finished-product pricing. Although processors faced increased expenses in some areas, improved global supply and softer grape prices created conditions for lower raisin prices.

For buyers, this environment provided opportunities to negotiate based on competitive supply availability. Importers and food manufacturers were able to assess alternative suppliers while monitoring agricultural developments for the next grape-growing cycle.

Raisins Prices in Europe

The European raisin market also recorded a decline during Q2 2026. In Germany, the Raisins Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter, with contracting industrial activity in June contributing to weaker market sentiment.

Germany represents a major food-processing and consumption market within Europe. Raisins are utilized in bakery products, cereals, confectionery, snack foods, prepared foods, and other processed food applications. Consequently, changes in industrial activity can influence purchasing requirements across downstream food manufacturers.

The contraction in industrial activity during June encouraged more cautious procurement behavior. Buyers facing softer production conditions generally have less incentive to build large inventories, particularly when supply is readily available. This contributed to reduced pricing momentum in the German raisin market.

Nevertheless, production costs continued to trend upward. Germany's Producer Price Index increased by 2.2% year-over-year in May 2026, indicating continued cost pressure at the producer level. Rising producer prices can affect food-processing expenses through energy, packaging, transportation, and other industrial inputs.

The combination of declining raisin prices and increasing producer costs suggests that suppliers faced margin pressure during the quarter. Although higher operating expenses created an upward cost influence, weaker purchasing activity prevented these costs from being fully reflected in finished-product prices.

European buyers therefore remained attentive to both demand conditions and supply-side costs. Importers and processors evaluated inventories, supplier quotations, transportation expenses, and currency-related considerations before making procurement decisions.

Germany's Q2 performance highlights an important characteristic of the European Raisins Prices market: downstream demand can outweigh broader producer-cost inflation when industrial purchasing slows. As a result, price movements do not necessarily mirror changes in producer prices on a one-to-one basis.

Key Factors Influencing Raisins Prices in Q2 2026

Several factors shaped the global Raisins Prices market during the quarter ending June 2026.

Production Costs

Production costs remained one of the strongest price-supporting factors, particularly in North America. Raisin processing requires agricultural labor, harvesting, drying, sorting, packaging, warehousing, and transportation. Increases in these expenses can raise supplier offers.

Grape Prices and Availability

Fresh grapes are the primary raw material for raisins. Consequently, grape prices have a direct influence on processor economics. In China, weaker grape prices during MY 2025/26 partly offset increases in other production costs.

Global Supply

Increased global supply placed downward pressure on raisin prices in China during Q2 2026. When inventories and export availability increase, buyers typically have greater negotiating leverage and suppliers face stronger competition.

Consumer Demand

Consumer spending affects demand for raisins through retail, snacks, cereals, bakery products, and confectionery. China's 1.0% retail sales growth in June indicated a relatively moderate demand environment, contributing to restrained price momentum.

Industrial Activity

Industrial performance was particularly relevant to the European market. Contracting industrial activity in Germany during June contributed to cautious procurement and reduced pricing pressure.

Producer Price Inflation

Producer-price movements remained relevant across both APAC and Europe. China's PPI increased 4.1% in June, while Germany's PPI increased 2.2% in May. These increases reflected broader producer-level cost pressures, although their impact on finished raisin prices varied by region.

Logistics and Packaging

Transportation, warehousing, packaging materials, and distribution costs also affect the delivered cost of raisins. These factors are particularly relevant for international buyers because raisins frequently move through multiple stages before reaching food manufacturers or retailers.

Regional Raisins Prices Comparison

Region	Q2 2026 Price Direction	Key Market Driver	Additional Indicator
North America	Increased	Elevated production costs	USA FOB: USD 2,950/MT
APAC	Decreased	Increased global supply and moderate demand	China retail sales +1.0% in June
Europe	Decreased	Contracting industrial activity	Germany PPI +2.2% in May

The regional divergence demonstrates that Raisins Prices were not driven by a single global trend. Local agricultural conditions, production expenses, downstream demand, and inventory positions played different roles across individual markets.

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Raisins Market Outlook

Looking beyond Q2 2026, the direction of the raisin market will depend heavily on grape availability, crop conditions, processing costs, international trade flows, and consumer demand.

In North America, elevated production expenses could continue to provide support to raisin prices if agricultural and processing costs remain high. However, the extent of price increases will also depend on buyer resistance and the availability of competing dried-fruit products.

In China, supply availability will remain an important consideration. If global raisin supply remains ample and grape prices stay relatively favorable, Chinese prices could remain under pressure. Conversely, adverse agricultural conditions or stronger export demand could tighten availability and change the market balance.

The European market will remain sensitive to industrial and consumer activity. A recovery in food-processing demand could improve purchasing volumes, while continued industrial weakness could keep buyers focused on inventory management and cost control.

Weather will also remain a fundamental variable. Raisin production is dependent on grape cultivation and drying conditions, making agricultural weather a significant factor in future supply. Changes in crop yields can influence both raw-material prices and finished-product availability.

For procurement teams, monitoring both upstream and downstream indicators will therefore be essential. Tracking grape prices, crop expectations, production costs, inventory levels, trade flows, freight rates, and consumer demand can provide a more complete picture than monitoring raisin quotations alone.

Conclusion

The Q2 2026 Raisins Prices market showed contrasting regional trends. The United States recorded an increase in its Raisins Price Index, with FOB USA prices assessed at USD 2,950/MT, supported by elevated production costs. China experienced a quarter-over-quarter decline as increased global supply and moderate retail growth outweighed producer-cost pressures. In Europe, Germany also recorded lower raisin prices amid contracting industrial activity, despite a 2.2% year-over-year increase in its Producer Price Index.

The market demonstrates how agricultural commodities can respond differently across regions depending on the interaction between raw-material costs, supply availability, downstream demand, and economic activity. Going forward, participants across the raisin supply chain will need to closely monitor grape production, processing expenses, international availability, and food-industry demand to understand emerging price trends.

For businesses involved in procurement, food processing, trading, and supply-chain planning, continuous monitoring of regional Raisins Prices, production economics, and market fundamentals can support more informed purchasing and inventory decisions.

 

 

 

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